List of Flash News about valuation premium
| Time | Details |
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2025-12-05 16:37 |
S&P 500 P/E Hits 26, 31% Above Long-Term Average — Third Year of Multiple Expansion; Watch Q4 EPS and Crypto Risk for BTC, ETH
According to @charliebilello, the S&P 500 P/E ratio has risen to 26, which is 31% above the 1989-onward average of 19.8, marking a third consecutive year of multiple expansion; the figure uses trailing 12‑month operating EPS with Q4 EPS estimated. Source: @charliebilello on X https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1996982319110914402 For trading, the reliance on estimated Q4 operating EPS puts focus on upcoming earnings updates and revisions that could shift the index’s multiple trajectory. Source: @charliebilello on X https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1996982319110914402 Crypto angle: shifts in US equity risk appetite can spill over to digital assets, and research shows BTC and stocks have exhibited higher correlation since 2020, heightening cross-asset sensitivity. Source: International Monetary Fund, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, Jan 2022 https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks |
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2025-11-11 13:48 |
Charlie Bilello on Valuations: Mega-Cap Tech Platform Premiums and the Risk-On Read-Through for BTC and ETH
According to Charlie Bilello, investors justify elevated multiples by viewing Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, and Netflix as platform businesses rather than narrow sector plays, which he frames as why valuations “don’t matter” in the current narrative (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Nov 11, 2025). Evidence supports the platform view: Nvidia’s data center AI has overtaken gaming as its primary revenue engine (source: Nvidia FY2024 Form 10-K); Tesla reports energy generation/storage and software-related revenue beyond autos (source: Tesla 2023 Form 10-K); Amazon’s AWS contributes a disproportionate share of operating income relative to retail (source: Amazon 2023 Form 10-K); Apple’s services provide high-margin recurring revenue alongside hardware (source: Apple 2023 Form 10-K); Alphabet’s Google Cloud is a key growth pillar (source: Alphabet 2023 Form 10-K); Meta invests in Reality Labs and AI capabilities in addition to social ads (source: Meta 2023 Form 10-K); Netflix has broadened monetization with an ad tier and games (source: Netflix 2023 Form 10-K). For crypto traders, elevated risk appetite led by mega-cap tech has been associated with stronger co-movement between digital assets and equities since 2020, heightening BTC and ETH sensitivity to tech-led sentiment shifts (source: IMF Blog “Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Posing New Risks,” Jan 2022; BIS Bulletin analyses on crypto-equity linkages, 2022). The trading takeaway is to contextualize crypto beta within broader AI-led growth leadership, as cross-asset correlations can amplify market-wide risk-on or risk-off moves (source: IMF Blog 2022; BIS 2022). |
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2025-10-30 20:52 |
Australian Bank Stocks Face Critical Earnings Test Next Week as Valuation Premiums Raise Downside Risk
According to @business, Australian banking shares face a pivotal earnings window starting next week as current valuations set a high bar for results (source: @business). The source indicates lenders’ updates could trigger a reckoning if reported numbers or guidance fail to justify premium pricing, elevating event risk for ASX bank stocks and financial sector benchmarks (source: @business). For trading, the key watch is whether earnings validate the valuation premium, with risk focused around the reporting dates highlighted by the source (source: @business). The source does not discuss cryptocurrency markets; any impact would be via broader risk sentiment shifts around the earnings window (source: @business). |
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2025-09-03 05:08 |
BTC, ETH Proxy Stocks mNAV Update: Top 10 BTCTCs Average 1.67 vs ETHTCs 1.23, Excluding Coinbase and Yunfeng Financial
According to @Andre_Dragosch, the average mNAV of the top 10 BTCTCs is 1.67 and the average mNAV of the top 10 ETHTCs is 1.23, excluding outliers such as Coinbase and Yunfeng Financial, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, September 3, 2025. This shows BTCTCs in the measured group have a higher mNAV than ETHTCs by 0.44 under the same methodology, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, September 3, 2025. The calculation explicitly removes Coinbase and Yunfeng Financial from the sample as outliers, source: @Andre_Dragosch on X, September 3, 2025. |
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2025-08-20 13:11 |
Palantir $PLTR Valuation 2025: @StockMarketNerd Flags Expensive Levels and Rejects Comp-Based Short Thesis
According to @StockMarketNerd, Palantir (PLTR) is expensive at current levels, underscoring a valuation premium that traders should note (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Aug 20, 2025). According to @StockMarketNerd, a short thesis built solely on peer-relative valuation (company X implies PLTR worth Y) is underwhelming and not compelling for bears (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Aug 20, 2025). According to @StockMarketNerd, the post provides no specific catalysts, financial metrics, or guidance changes, and it does not mention cryptocurrencies or crypto markets, indicating no direct crypto linkage in this comment (source: @StockMarketNerd on X, Aug 20, 2025). |